Real Estate Market Update

March 19, 2021

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“Four things for success: work and pray, think and believe.” Norman Vincent Peale

 

As we roll into the spring real estate market, there is more demand and less supply of homes than I have ever seen including the 2004 to 2006 timeframe. The Northeast Florida Association of Realtors market stats tell the story.

 

The pending sales of 3,063 are 11.4% higher than last February. The closed sales of 2,542 are up 5.9%. The new listings for February of 2,955 are down 13.5%.

 

There are 3,931 homes available for sale in February, down 56.1% from the 8,945 homes last February. The months supply of inventory is 1.3 months, down 60.6% from 3.3 months last February.

 

With the increased demand and diminishing supply, the prices continue to rise. The average sales price is up 14.1% in February compared to last February and the median price is up 11.8%. A recent article in the Jacksonville Business Journal says Redfin reports that Jacksonville leads the nation in rising housing market value. “The study from Seattle-based online real estate brokerage Redfin Corp. pointed to a 21.1% increase in the total value of homes in the Jacksonville metro between February 2020 and February 2021 – the largest increase in the nation.” They also pointed out that houses in our area remain below the national median price. “The median price here of $270,477 compared to $342,326 for the entire country.”

 

Florida Realtors Chief Economist, Dr. Brad O’Connor is predicting all of 2021 to be a great real estate market in Florida. He quoted economist from Realtors, Builders, Mortgage Bankers, Core Logic and more all predicting interest rates at year end between 3% and 3.6%. He says if rates rise too quickly the demand would be strong but we might be closer to historical norms than the market we are seeing now.

 

We are seeing fewer new listings as mentioned above. This may be related to COVID fears or concerns of where you can buy if you sell your home at a great price. The builders are adding homes as quickly as possible. The building permits issued for the Jacksonville MSA for January and February 2021 were 2,393 compared to 1,723 for the same period in 2020 for a 39% increase.

 

If you are buying or selling, you need advice from a trusted agent. The professional agents are finding ways to get offers accepted for buyers and know the best way to handle multiple offers for sellers. Please let us know if we can be of service.

 

Enjoy our beautiful spring weather, March Madness, Baseball Spring Training, our beaches and river. I wish you a Happy Easter!

The Winning Team – Davidson Realty 2020 Awards

February 19, 2021

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2020. The year of adapting to the unknown. A global pandemic, millions of jobs lost, and a volatile economy, did not stop the real estate market from being swarmed by millions of Americans hoping to take advantage of the positive market trends and record-setting numbers.

 

The Davidson Realty Team powered through the uncertainty, the “social distancing”, and changing market trends to deliver quality real estate services to their clients. “Our team at Davidson Realty continued to stay connected to our customers during the crazy Covid year we had”, shared Davidson Realty President, Sherry Davidson. Agents gracefully navigated 2020 as they were presented with multiple offer situations due to the competitive nature of the market. Along with the excellent real estate service the Davidson Realty Team was providing, they continued to serve the Northeast Florida community, when they perhaps needed it the most. “Our team organized and participated in food and toy drives, Davidson Cares Clay Day, and Deck The Chairs. The passion our team has for serving others is inspiring. With all that our team faced in 2020, I am proud that the Davidson Realty team has matched the 2019 closing volume of $100,000,000 and exceeded 2019 sales volume by 16%,” continues Sherry. With such an exceptional year for the Davidson Realty team, it is only right that their best and brightest are recognized for their accomplishments in service and performance. The success of this team is made in part by the incredible leadership team at Davidson Realty, notably Sherry Davidson and Davidson Realty Sales and Training Manager, Andrea Gallagher.

 

Last month, Davidson Realty President Sherry Davidson was named the 2020 Northeast Florida Association of Realtors (NEFAR) Circle of Honor award winner for her exceptional service and contributions to the real estate community both locally and statewide. Sherry has served NEFAR in various capacities including on its Board of Directors. She has also served on the Board of Directors for Builders Care, a charitable arm of the Northeast Florida Builders Association (NEFBA). Throughout her 30-year career in real estate, Sherry has supported real estate agent education and promoted the importance of the real estate industry’s involvement in the community. Sherry truly has led by example as she has supported various causes in Northeast Florida including NEFAR Fights Hunger and Davidson Cares Clay Day. Known throughout the First Coast as an industry leader and an authority in residential real estate, the Davidson Realty Team continues to flourish under her mentorship.

 

 

Terri Apodaca

Davidson Property Management – 2020 Most Rentals

Davidson Property Management – 2020 Most Properties Referred

5 Years of Service 

3 Million Dollars Closed

3 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

Reba Barkley

Davidson Property Management – 2020 Rookie of the Year

 

 

 

 

 

Bonnie Cherhoniak 

5 Years Service

 

 

 

 

 

Lori Burton

5 Years Service

 

 

 

Pam Lareau

5 Years Service

 

 

 

 

Kirsten Lightfoot

5 Years Service

 

 

 

 

Matt Davidson

20 Years Service

 

 

 

 

 

Delilah Salameh

2020 Sales Rookie of the Year

 

 

 

 

 

Candy Gil

3 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

 

 

 

Liz Pappaceno

3 Million Dollars Closed

3.5 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

 

 

 

Jennifer Todd

3 Million Dollars Closed

3.5 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

 

 

Caitlyn Hawkins

3 Million Dollars Closed

3 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

 

 

Margherite Myers

3 Million Dollars Closed

3.5 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

 

Lynn Whitley

4 Million Dollars Closed

4 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

 

 

Ron Savarese

4 Million Dollars Closed

4 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

 

 

Steve Rodriguez

4 Million Dollars Closed

3.5 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

Tammy Peacock

4 Million Dollars Closed

4 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

 

The Braddock Group – Michael Braddock & Sarah Poehler

3.5 Million Dollars Closed

4 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

 

 

Suzy Evans

11 Million Dollars Closed

11 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

 

Shelley & Tim Nemethy

16 Million Dollars Closed

18 Million Dollars Sold

 

 

 

 

Mirtha Barzaga

17 Million Dollars Closed

17 Million Dollars Sold

2020 Closing Agent of the Year

2020 Sales Agent of the Year

2020 Listing Agent of the Year

 

 

Sam Davidson

2020 President’s Award

 

 

 

The Davidson Realty Team is proud of all the hard work and dedication displayed in 2020 and strives to have an even more successful 2021. These achievements would not be possible without the trust and loyalty of the Davidson Realty clients. Thank you for trusting us as your real estate experts. If you are interested in experiencing the Davidson Realty difference, contact us at (904) 940-5000.

Real Estate Market Update

February 16, 2021

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“Talent is God given. Be humble. Fame is man-given. Be grateful. Conceit is self-given. Be careful.” John Wooden

 

The Northeast Florida Association of Realtors market stats for January 2021 confirms what we are seeing in the market every day. The Inventory of Homes for Sale is 4,296 homes, down 51.6% from last January when there were 8,876. We have 1.4 months supply of inventory which is down 57.6% from 3.3 months last January. These numbers are staggering. The available inventory is lower than in the crazy period of 2004 and 2005.

 

It is the perfect storm if you are considering selling your home. When a new listing comes available buyers are offering list price with escalation clauses to pay more. Some buyers are removing appraisal and inspection contingencies to get their offer accepted. It is a very competitive market and you need expert advice to manage the process.

 

Buyer demand is strong as evidenced by 2,970 pending sales in January up 17.9% from last January. Closed sales of 2,210 is up 11.2%. With strong buyer demand and lower than normal inventory, prices continue to increase. The median sales price in January is $256,995 up 10.8% over last January. The average price is $319,811 up 16.0%.

 

National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB) Chief Economist, Dr. Robert Dietz and Florida Realtors Chief Economist, Dr. Brad O’Connor spoke at a recent Florida Realtors event and shared some interesting insights. Dr. Dietz said Florida had strong growth in new construction with 2020 building permits up “an incredible 30% year-over-year.”

 

The NAHB chief economist said he tracked data to look at the often-cited “shift to the suburbs” for housing in the latter part of 2020 due to COVID-19. He found that large metro areas with high density in the urban core still experienced a year-over-year growth rate of about 5.7% in 3Q 2020, but the lower-density, lower-cost suburbs out from the cities reported a growth rate of about 15%. Dietz also looked further out from Florida’s urban cores at communities known for second homes, investment homes or retirement. He said those areas reported a year-over-year growth rate of about 23.2% in 3Q 2020.

 

Dr. O’Connor explained that buyer wealth and available inventory matter more than density. “So, I would hypothesize that’s why you’re seeing a suburban shift in new home sales. And, why you’re seeing an overall greater surge in sales of upper-priced and luxury homes in Florida is that these kinds of homes are more freely available, and because many of the folks who are able to afford these kinds of properties also tend to be those who will be most able to work from home going forward.”

 

The northeast Florida housing market remains strong. It will be interesting to see what happens in the spring which is typically our strongest season. Enjoy the great spring weather and all the sports that are resuming. Thank you for your continued support and please let us know if we can help you with any real estate needs

 

 

Real Estate Market Update

January 21, 2021

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“Have enough courage to start and enough heart to finish.” – Jessica N. S. Yourko

 


This quote seems like a wonderful way to begin a new year that looks to be a wild ride. All predictions are for continued strong demand for homes in the northeast Florida area and nationwide.

 

I have huge respect for Dr. Lawrence Yun, NAR’s Chief Economist. At a recent event co-presented by RISMedia and the National Association of Realtors (NAR), Dr. Yun indicated that the momentum from the second half of 2020 will continue into 2021. His predictions for the new year are interest rates at historic low levels, increased job creation due to the stimulus package recently passing and vaccines being widely distributed, improved unemployment rate, and more housing inventory.

 

He also expects the following:

– Strong home sales momentum, with sales up roughly 8 to 12 percent in 2021 vs. 2020

– Home prices rising more moderately, about 4 percent nationwide

 

The demand for homes in our area remains strong, but the supply of homes continues to decrease. There were 4,549 homes available for sale in December 2020 down 46.9% from the 8,569 available in December 2019 according to the Northeast Florida Association of Realtors market stats.

 

There is 1.5 months supply of homes for sale in our area down 53.1% from last December’s 3.2 months of supply. A balanced market is 5 to 6 months of supply. If you are buying or selling a home, you need guidance from a professional. We are seeing crazy things happening in this market on both sides of the transaction.

 

– Pending sales of 2,685 were up 25.7% December over December and up 12.9% year over year.

– Closed sales of 3,187 were up 15.2% December over December and up 8.2% year over year.

– Median sales price of $267,000 is up 11.3% December over December and 9.0% year over year.

– Average sales price of $331,242 is up 14.6% December over December and 11.8% year over year.

 

New home construction has increased and will help with the supply of homes, but builders are facing challenges also. From a blog posted today on the National Association of Homebuilders site, “Rising material costs led by a huge upsurge in lumber prices, along with a resurgence of the coronavirus across much of the nation, pushed builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes down three points to 83 in January, according to the latest NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today. Despite the drop, builder sentiment remains at a strong level.” Any number over 50 indicates that more builders view conditions as good than poor.

 

Thank you for all the support of Davidson Realty and Davidson Property Management. If we can assist you with any of your real estate needs, please let us know.

How COVID-19 Impacted Real Estate in 2020

January 15, 2021

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The resilience of the real estate market was perhaps the biggest surprise in 2020. Despite the COVID-19 pandemic, the loss of millions of jobs, and a crippled economy, millions of American’s made waves in the real estate industry by browsing and, oftentimes, purchasing a new home. With thousands of businesses negatively affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, the real estate market saw positive trends and record-setting numbers.

 

The 2020 real estate market was expected to see steady growth. Lawrence Yun, National Association of Realtors (NAR) Chief Economist predicted there to be more than 750,000, for an 11% increase, in new home sales while existing homes sales would be repressed by low supply of homes to more than 5.56 million for a modest 4% increase. The median home price was anticipated to land at  $270,400 for an increase of 4.3%. Overall, the NAR was forecasting a healthy year for real estate. 

 

At the end of the first quarter of 2020, in the infancy of the pandemic, the real estate market was merely reacting to the sudden, bizarre changes that were happening in the world. With the new phrase called “social distancing” added to American vocabulary, all players in the real estate industry were in uncharted waters. With schools closing and businesses shut down, the needs of home seekers shifted.  

 

The COVID-19 pandemic made an interesting impact on the real estate market. While inventory was low and homes were selling quickly, the NAR reported a surge of people moving to more rural areas from larger, more crowded cities while desiring more moderate climates. “We are seeing many buyers coming from the Midwest, Northeast, and South Florida,” shares Sherry Davidson, President of Davidson Realty. This shift was caused by multiple COVID-19 related effects. Offices started allowing employees to work exclusively from home to successfully socially distance and people were enjoying the new routine COVID-19 brought and desired a slower pace of life. 

 

Throughout the changing times, Davidson Realty was able to adjust to new safety procedures and listen to the new needs of their clients. “Buyers were looking for homes that were more in tune to the daily needs of their families. Many were working from home and homeschooling their children, requiring more functional space for work and play,” shares Sherry Davidson. “Families were eager to purchase a home, but with inventory at record lows, we were seeing multiple offer situations and buyers were paying more than appraised values. Sellers were in a position to not consider offers with contingencies for financing and appraisals.” With interest rates at record-setting lows, buyers were eager to get their hands on their dream home. 

 

Although NAR has not yet released their year-end sales report, NAR reported in December they were expecting to reach 5.52 million in purchases in 2020, which is the highest annual mark since 2006. They also anticipate the median home price will hit a record-setting high at $293,000. Lawrence Yun has stated that the momentum from the second half of 2020 will carry into 2021.  Yun foresees interest rates remaining favorable and an increase in supply which will give home buyers more choices and repress home price growth. 

 

It’s safe to say the real estate market is still on fire. If you are interested in buying or selling your home, contact Davidson Realty today at (904) 940-5000. 

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