All is Well in Northeast Florida Real Estate: August Market Stats

September 24, 2019

 | 

I attended a great event hosted by NEFBA this week featuring Robert Dietz, the National Association of Home Builders Chief Economist. He shared some very positive information about the Jacksonville MSA (metropolitan statistical area) performing better than the state and nation in many areas. For instance, the population growth for 2018 in the U.S. was 0.6%, the state of Florida was 1.5% and the Jacksonville MSA was 2.0%.

 

Robert Dietz also shared that the Builder confidence index rose to 68 in September from an upwardly revised reading of 67 in August. A reading above 50 is considered positive.

 

Another interesting slide he shared shows the number of young adults between the ages of 25 to 34 living with their parents almost doubled since 2005. Approximately 12% were living with their parents in 2005 and around 22% are living with parents now. Many young adults in this age group have student loans and auto loans which make it difficult to afford housing payments. Student loans are 142% higher since the recession and auto loans are 60% higher. Housing formations for this group are being delayed.

 

Read more

All is Well in Northeast Florida Real Estate: July Market Stats

August 27, 2019

 | 

All is well in Northeast Florida real estate this summer in the most recent report from the Northeast Florida Association of Realtors. The pending sales and closed sales are up, the median and average sales price are up, and the inventory of homes for sale and months supply of homes for sale are down.

 

There were 2,983 contracts written in July which is up 6% over last July and 6% year-to-date. The local data continues to be positive and in June the national numbers were also positive. A National Association of Realtors article says, “The Pending Sales Index (PHSI) – a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings – moved up 2.8% to 108.3 in June, an increase from 105.4 in May. Year-over-year contract signings jumped 1.6%, snapping a 17-month streak of annual decreases. The 2.8% increase is likely the start of a positive trend for home sales, predicts NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.”

  • The closed sales in July of 2,820 were up 1% over last July and 4% year-to-date.
  • The median sales price of $242,000 is up 5% over last July and 2% year-to-date.
  • The average sales price of $283,038 is up 3% over last July and 2% year-to-date.
  • The inventory of homes for sale is down 7% from last July to 9,173.
  • The months supply of inventory is down 12.5% from last July to 3.5 months.
    Five to six months of supply is a balanced market.

Read more

The Strong Real Estate Market Continues Through Summer!

July 31, 2019

 | 

It looks like the strong real estate market in northeast Florida will continue through the summer. The Northeast Florida Association of Realtors market stats for June 2019 shows good buyer demand with 2,966 pending sales which is 11% higher than last June and 7% higher year-to-date.

 

Brian Buffini, a leader in the real estate industry for over 30 years, pointed out the four main indicators of the economy as it relates to real estate. The four indicators are jobs, interest rates, population and consumer confidence. All four are extremely positive right now.

 

Jobless claims are at a 50-year low. Mortgage interest rates are more than 0.5% lower than last year and very low compared to historical rates. The United States population is up 45 million people from 2000 to 2018 and consumer confidence is high.

Read more

The May Market Stats Show Increasing Pending Sales & Closing

June 26, 2019

 | 

The Northeast Florida Association of Realtors market stats for May 2019 show increased pending sales and closings. Prices continue to rise, but at a slower pace than the previous few years. Home sales had weakened late last year when interest rates on mortgages spiked, but the declining rates and strong economy in Northeast Florida have the numbers outpacing 2018 year-to-date.

 

There were 3,114 contracts written in May which is up over 5% for the previous May and year-to-date. There were 3,091 closings in May which is up over 4% month-to-month and year-to-date. The median sales price of $232,000 is up 2% year-to-date. The average sales price of $276,429 is up 1% year-to-date.

 

Read more

April Market Stats: Florida is growing Fast!!

May 31, 2019

 | 

The National Association of Realtors annual meeting in Washington DC just wrapped up and Dr. Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors made an interesting prediction of changing future migration patterns of buyers. “Because of significant differences in home prices between metro markets, he says there may be a steady shift in the relocation of people and companies into more affordable regions of the country. Housing affordability has been falling according to NAR’s Housing Affordability Index.” Florida Realtors

 

Another Florida Realtors article discusses the 2018 American Community Survey state-to-state migration flows. Florida had the most domestic in-movers, with 566,476 people moving from another state within the past year. The states with the next highest in-migration flows are Texas with 524,511 and California with 523,131.

Read more

Davidson Realty