February 23, 2011

Jacksonville FL Real Estate Trends in January 2011

 ”The path to our destination is not always a straight one. We go down
 the wrong road, we get lost, we turn back. Maybe it doesn’t matter
 which road we embark on. Maybe what matters is that we embark.”
        – Barbara Hall

We have embarked on a new year and January is already proving correct many predictions of ups and downs in the real estate market during 2011. See the table below for the latest Northeast Florida Association of Realtors statistics.

 

Jan 2009

Jan 2010

Jan 2011

Pending Sales

942

1,148

1,396

Closed Sales

701

921

993

Days on Market Until Sale

109

102

120

Median Sales Price

$155,000

$132,700

$120,750

Average Sales Price

$201,832

$164,825

$153,361

% of Original List Price Received

86.3%

88.6%

86.1%

Inventory of Homes for Sale

16,690

15,443

13,198

Months Supply of Inventory

15.9

12.3

9.4

As you can see, pending sales, closed sales, Inventory of homes for sale and months supply of inventory are all showing positive trends. There are more sales each year and less inventory.

The median and average sales prices are declining. One major reason for this decline is that a staggering 59% of all closings in January were short sales or foreclosures.

If you take a 12-month average of the average sales price for the most current year, you will see it comes to $169,465 which when compared to the previous year of $179,057 shows a 5.4% decline in pricing. This method helps to smooth out the bumps in pricing each month.

If you know of anyone that would like to buy, sell, or rent a home, please give me a call. I would love to take great care of any of your referrals.

February 22, 2010

January NEFAR Market Statistics May Surprise You!

Sherry DavidsonIf you have been reading my market analysis for the last few months, you probably think you can skip this one because I have been saying the same thing over and over. Well this month brings a few surprises.

My first surprise is that closed sales for January 2010 were about 40% less than December 2009. There were 1,316 closings in November, 1,365 in December and 834 in January.

This looks like very negative news, but I believe the reason for the decline in closings was mainly due to short sales. We saw lenders approving and closing short sales in December to get them closed by year end. Maybe the holidays were also a factor, but we did not see any short sales making it through the process in January. (more…)

September 18, 2009

How is the Real Estate Market?

Sherry_DavidsonHow is the real estate market? I hear this question a lot. My answer lately has been that activity is up dramatically, but prices are not. Here are three trends that I like to watch.

1. Inventory levels
The number of active listings in the Northeast Florida Multiple Listing Service continues to decline. There are 14,945 properties for sale in August 2009 compared to 18,326 in August 2008. There are 18% less properties for sale. The months supply of inventory dropped from 17.1 months in August 2008 to 12.6 months in August 2009. Six months of inventory is when the market is most balanced.

2. Pending Sales
The pending sales in August 2009 are up 48% over August 2008. We have seen a large increase in the number of buyers looking for a home and the contracts that are being written.

3. Prices
The median sales price is down 17% from last year and 25% from two years (more…)

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